Tesla market capitalization 1 trillion 2,000 hundred million dollars, debate over whether the share price is overvalued
Tesla's market capitalization is 1 trillion 2,000 hundred million dollars, and its P/E ratio is 357 times. Its forward P/E based on 2028 estimates is 114 times. The analyst concluded that the current share price is overvalued when considering electric-vehicle performance alone.

Tesla's market capitalization is 1 trillion 2,000 hundred million dollars. The current share price has a P/E ratio of 357 times based on earnings per share, and its forward P/E based on 2028 earnings estimates is 114 times. The analyst assessed these figures as being at a very high level.
Some investors believe Tesla will transition to a high-profitability structure through its autonomous-driving and humanoid-robot businesses. They expect these businesses to generate high profit margins over the long term. They explain that these expectations are reflected in the current share price.
However, the analyst points out that, considering only the electric-vehicle business, growth is slowing and competition is intensifying. He concluded that the share price is overvalued based on current performance. This view is that the share price may remain expensive relative to performance until tangible profits from the new businesses are confirmed.
The timing of commercialization for autonomous driving technology and the possibility of commercializing humanoid robots remain highly uncertain. If commercialization is delayed, the estimated profit for the year 2028may not materialize. If that happens, the expectations currently reflected in the price could be adjusted.
The analyst recommends that investors review the current share price level together with the profit estimate for the year 2028In particular, the analyst suggests checking progress in autonomous-driving development and the timing of revenue recognition related to robots. The analyst said investment decisions should be made after confirming whether these assumptions are actually realized.
In summary, the current share price largely reflects expectations for autonomous driving and robots. On the other hand, based on the growth potential and competitive environment of the core electric-vehicle business, an assessment has emerged that the price includes excessive expectations. The analyst recommends determining a position after reviewing future technology commercialization and whether profits are realized.
Sources: The Motley Fool
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